USD/JPY closed higher on Friday due to short covering as it rebounds off November's low. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signalling that additional weakness is possible near-term. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below November's low crossing would renew this fall's decline while opening the door for a possible test of weekly support crossing later this winter.
USDJPY might be forming a short term cycle bottom at 99.31 level on 4-hour chart. Key resistance is located at 100.85, a break above this level will confirm the cycle bottom. Range trading between 99.31 and 101.43 is expected in next several days.
In March Dollar/Yen consolidated after the sharp rise a month earlier, and the risk of another downward wave remains high. Last week the currency couple consolidated, realizing the practical implementation of the technical targets of making double bottom.
A short-term bottom has been set at 87.12 and a large consolidation is unfolding since. Trading is situated between the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 94.12 and 99.36.
The bias remains negative for 97.12 with nearest resistance at 98.90 and risk-limit above 99.55.