AlexanderLF's Blog (1,140)

NZD/USD: general review





Current trend





Last Friday a number of important releases came from New Zealand: trading balance and construction permits. Although March trading balance showed stable growth in March, it appeared to be less than forecast. The number of construction permits fell considerably in comparison with the previous period. All these factors had a negative impact on the dynamics of the pair that has been falling for the whole previous week and updated 11-months minimums… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on May 1, 2017 at 11:27am — No Comments

EUR/USD: general analysis





Current trend





The last week was positive for the EUR/USD pair due to the “dovish” FRS mood of the interest rate rise and the positive for the EUR Netherlands Elections result. The growth o the pair slowed in the end of the week due to the traders’ fixing the profit, which presses the price to the level of 1.0700. The pair managed to close above this level, which entrusted the “bulls”. In the beginning of the week the pair is growing and tested the level of… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on March 20, 2017 at 2:22pm — No Comments

USD/CAD: general analysis





Current trend





Yesterday during the trading session the pair continued to grow and reached the maximum of 2017 year, despite the slight weakening of the USD against some of the main currencies such as GBP and EUR due to the weak USA employment market data publication. The Initial Jobless Claims value was higher than expected: 243K against 235K. Yesterday the oil prices were stable, so the CAD price was stable too.



There are a lot of key releases… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on March 10, 2017 at 2:26pm — No Comments

EUR/USD: general review





Current trend





The pair is trading in a narrow range of 1.0550-1.0610. Consolidation takes place due to the political and economic uncertainty in Europe and the United States.



Euro is under pressure of the upcoming elections in France. If the candidate of the "National Front" party Marie Le Pen comes to power, France may withdraw from the Eurozone, which would significantly weaken the rate of EUR/USD.





Dollar remains under pressure… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 27, 2017 at 4:06pm — No Comments

EUR/USD: general review





Current trend





The pair is trading in a narrow range of 1.0550-1.0610. Consolidation takes place due to the political and economic uncertainty in Europe and the United States.



Euro is under pressure of the upcoming elections in France. If the candidate of the "National Front" party Marie Le Pen comes to power, France may withdraw from the Eurozone, which would significantly weaken the rate of EUR/USD.





Dollar remains under pressure… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 27, 2017 at 4:02pm — No Comments

XAU/USD: general analysis





Current trend





Yesterday the XAU/USD pair rose to a level of 1250.85, updating 4-month maximum, due to the release of weak US unemployment data. The number of initial claims month increased from 238K to 244K. The negative statistics on the labor market significantly reduces the likelihood of interest rate hike at the March meeting of the Fed. Thus, the market expectation regarding the imminent tightening of monetary policy is assessed as very low, which… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 24, 2017 at 11:24am — No Comments

USD/JPY: general review





Current trend





The USD/JPY pair was growing during the trade session on Tuesday. This was caused by hawkish comments of some FRS officials. US stocks were growing too, which influenced dollar rate positively, putting pressure on the yen. The values of Markit Manufacturing PMI and Markit PMI Composite turned out to be lower than expected. Nevertheless, the index values above 50 points show the overall economy growth, strengthening the US… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 22, 2017 at 4:11pm — No Comments

EUR/TRY: technical analysis





EUR/TRY, D1





On the daily chart, the pair is falling along the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The price remains above the EMA65, EMA130 and SMA200 that start turning sideways. The RSI is testing its most recent support, and thus may be forming a “double bottom” reverse formation. The Composite begins diverging with the price.





EUR/TRY, H4





On the 4-hour chart, the pair is correcting up from the lower line of Bollinger… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 20, 2017 at 3:18pm — No Comments

NZD/USD: technical analysis





NZD/USD, D1



On the daily chart, the pair is trading in the lower Bollinger band. The price remains just above the EMA65, EMA130 and SMA200 that are horizontal. The RSI turned down having failed its longer MA. The Composite, however, is growing.



NZD/USD, H4



On the 4-hour chart, the pair is trading just below the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below the EMA14, EMA65 and EMA130 but above the SMA200 that turned horizontally. The RSI is… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 17, 2017 at 2:40pm — No Comments

XAU/USD: general analysis





Current trend



Yesterday, gold was strengthened after the speech by Janet Yellen. In her speech, the head of the American regulator stressed that the next tightening of monetary policy depends directly on the statistics of labor market and real estate, as well as on the growth rate of inflation in the United States. At the same time Yellen highlighted the opinion of most members of the committee that delay of the interest rates raise would be… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 16, 2017 at 12:36pm — No Comments

NZD/USD: general analysis





Current trend





During the last week the pair was lowering and lost about a half of the 2 months growth (more than 200 points). The decrease is a result of many factors. The first is the RBNZ decision to keep the interest rate on the same level of 1.75%, which is minimal for last 5 years. The lowering of the rate affects the national currency negatively. The second are the positive USD data: Initial Jobless Claims, which is better than expected, the Import… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 14, 2017 at 12:43pm — No Comments

XAG/USD: technical analysis





XAG/USD, D1





On the daily chart the pair is growing along the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator, the trend is upward. The MACD histogram is in the positive zone, its volumes are slightly growing, the signal line crosses the histogram’s body upwards, giving a signal to open long positions. The Stochastic is moving alongside the border between the neutral and the overbought zone, giving no clear signal.





XAG/USD,… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 13, 2017 at 10:43am — No Comments

GBP/USD: the pair is in a state of equilibrium







Current trend




On Thursday, the pair lost about a hundred points, reaching the middle line of Bollinger bands at 1.2500. Strengthening of the dollar was due to the Trump’s intention to present his proposals for tax reform in the near future. During the election campaign, he has already promised to reduce the tax burden on the American middle class and businesses as well as to reduce the rate of income tax and change the scale of progressive taxation. Now the… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 10, 2017 at 3:46pm — No Comments

EUR/USD: общий обзор





Текущая динамика





Пара EUR/USD в ходе вчерашних торгов предприняла попытку роста, однако закрепиться выше уровня 1.0713 ей не удалось, и курс скорректировался вниз. Отсутствие новостного фона, а также неопределенность в отношении экономической политики нового президента США определяют текущий боковой характер движения EUR/USD. Из макроэкономических событий, способных оказать влияние на курс EUR/USD сегодня, можно выделить статистику по первичным заявкам на… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 9, 2017 at 2:18pm — No Comments

AUD/USD: general analysis





Current trend



The AUD is trading in the upward trend against the USD. The pair has grown by more than 500 points and reached the key resistance level of 0.7700 in a month. The pair is moving due to the significant lowering of the USD against the negative USD fundamental background. During the last month the poor GDP, employment and key indices data were published. The Australia data made a positive impact on the pair.



In the beginning of the week there… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 8, 2017 at 6:21pm — No Comments

NZD/USD: general review





Current trend



During the Asian trading session, the US dollar strengthened against major currencies. The dollar has received support from the comments of Fed’s representative Harker, who made it clear that the regulator still might raise the interest rates at the March meeting. That’s why the NZD/USD pair dropped abruptly to the level of 0.7297.





Today, the macroeconomic calendar contains no significant releases that could affect the dynamics of the… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 7, 2017 at 4:04pm — No Comments

XAU/USD: general analysis





Current trend





Gold prices are growing against the mixed USA employment data, published on Friday. The Nonfarm Payrolls value grew to 227K in January from 157K in the previous month. The unemployment rate grew to 4.8% in January from 4.7% in the previous month. The mixed employment data and the uncertainty of the Trump’s economical policy press the USD, so the gold price could reach the level of 1225.17, but didn’t manage to consolidate above this level. Today… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 6, 2017 at 2:01pm — No Comments

USD/JPY: general analysis





Current trend





During the yesterday trading session the USD/JPY grew against the positive USA macroeconomical statistics. After testing a minimum in the area of 112.03, the pair has reached the level of 112.86 in the end of the trading session. The Initial Jobless Claims index, published yesterday, lowered to 246K WoW from 260K in the previous week. Nonfarm Productivity grew by 1.3% in the fourth quarter against the expected growth of 1.0%. The positive… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 3, 2017 at 12:10pm — No Comments

EUR/USD: general analysis





Current trend





Yesterday the pair grew against the poor speech of the USA FRS. The investors expected to get more specific information concerning the USA interest rate rise, as in the previous meeting the FRS declared the intention to increase the rate triple in the year in the USA economy is in a satisfactory state. The FRS said that the employment rate growth is good and there are positive trends in the consumers’ mood, however the inflation is still low and… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 2, 2017 at 1:04pm — No Comments

GBP/USD: technical analysis





GBP/USD, D1





On the daily chart, the pair is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains above the EMA14, EMA65 but below the EMA130 and SMA200 that are turning horizontally. The RSI is about to retest its most recent resistance. The Composite turned up as well but shows only a small upward impulse.





GBP/USD, H4





On the 4-hour chart, the pair is trading just below the upper line of Bollinger Bands. The price… Continue

Added by AlexanderLF on February 1, 2017 at 3:18pm — No Comments

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