Current trend

Today the AUD/USD pair is falling.

The pair is pressured by investors expectations of an interest rates increase in the US at the December Fed’ meeting and further monetary policy easing in Australia. In addition, Australian economic problems may get worse. The unemployment rate could increase as companies in the mining industry continue cutting investments, while commodities prices keep falling amid slowing Chinese economy.

Thus, until 1 December when the RBA Interest Rate Decision is due the pair will remain under pressure. If interest rate are increased then, the fall in the pair will accelerate.

Support and resistance

Since the beginning of the month, the pair remains in an ascending correctional channel on the 4-hour chart.

However, a breakdown of the support levels at 0.7200 (ЕМА50), 0.7170 (ЕМА200, ЕМА144, lower border of the ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, ЕМА50 on the daily chart) would return the price in a downward channel on the daily chart and sends the pair to 0.7030 (November lows), 0.6950, 0.6910 (year lows).

OsMA and Stochastic on the 4-hour and daily charts recommend short positions.

Support levels: 0.7170, 0.7100, 0.7030, 0.6950, 0.6910.

Resistance levels: 0.7250, 0.7325, 0.7370, 0.7500.

Trading tips

Pending sell orders can be placed at the level of 0.7190 with targets at 0.7110, 0.7090, 0.7030, 0.6950, 0.6910 and stop-loss at 0.7220.

Pending buy orders can be placed at the level of 0.7240 with targets at 0.7290, 0.7300, 0.7370 and stop-loss at 0.7190.

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