Forex-Metal

Forex-Metal Daily Analysis - 29/07/10

The Australian dollar stepped back from the previously reached maximums.



Asian and European trading sessions


Euro: As the risk appetite grew on Wednesday, the euro strengthened against major competitors. The stock markets growth as well as the positive fundamentals rendered support to the euro. The EUR/USD reached
maximums around the $1,3040 level.


British Pound: The GBP/USD showed maximums at the $1,5639 level.


Japanese Yen: The Asian stock markets growth supported the yen rate, but on the other hand, the yen price was pressured by the increasing concerns over the slow-down of the US economy
rehabilitation rate.


Australian Dollar: On Wednesday the Australian dollar had to step away from the previously reached maximums. The released inflation data turned out to be below the expectations. The Consumer price
index for the second quarter grew for only 0.6% when the forecasted growth was
at 1.0%. Therefore, the expectations for the principal rate increase by the RBA
reduced. Therefore, according to the forecasts, the Reserve Bank of Australia
would leave the principal rate unchanged at the level of
4.5%.


New-Zealand Dollar:According to the expectations, tomorrow the Reserve bank of New-Zealand will increase the principal rate to the 3.00% level.


Oil: The oil rate had a negative influence from the released US oil inventories, which showed growth. During the morning trading the oil prices lowered to $77.28
mark per barrel.



American trading session


US Dollar: The US dollar pulled back against the yen as the negative fundamentals were released in the US. The Durable goods orders dropped in June for 1.0%, when experts forecasted
growth for 1.0%.


Euro: As the traders still analyze the release of the stress-test results, the published drop of the US durable goods orders also influenced the investors’ uncertainty in the trading dynamics.




Technical analysis



EURUSD


The pair is aiming to the second level of Fibonacci retracement of 38.2% at 1.31133, if 1.30277 is broken.


Resistance: 1.30277, 1.32285, 1.34334


Support: 1.28630, 1.27009, 1.25690


GBPUSD


The pair has broken 1.5484 again and aiming to 1.56722. At this level the pair should start topping, because of the MACD divergence and channel line. A short roll back maybe expected.


Resistance: 1.56722, 1.58543, 1.60322


Support: 1.54842, 1.52523, 1.50581


USDCHF


The pair has reached 1.06179 and rolling back to 1.05139.


Resistance: 1.06179, 1.07258, 1.08210


Support: 1.05139, 1.03987, 1.02747


USDJPY


The pair is trading in the narrow range between 87.675 and 86.345. Once 86.246 is broken, the pair will decline to 85.161.


Resistance: 88.640, 90.045, 91.254


Support: 86.246, 85.701, 85.161


AUDUSD


The pair may find support at 0.89029. Resistance at 0.90285.


Resistance: 0.90285, 0.91773, 0.93357


Support: 0.89029, 0.87243, 0.82723




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Tags: Analysis, Daily

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