Current trend

Today the XAG/USD pair is growing.

However, the pair remains under pressure amid investors’ expectations of an interest rates hike in the US in December. According to the Fed Fund Futures, the probability of the rate increase in December is at 78%. On Friday, March futures on silver fell by 12.7 cents, while the WSJ Dollar index remains at 13-year highs.

Investors’ attention is focused on the US labour market data for November that is due on Friday and which is going to play a key role for the decision on interest rates at Fed’s December meeting.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the XAG/USD pair is falling along a channel with the lower border below the level of 13.85.

Prior to the publication of important data the price will stabilise near the level of 14.00 (year lows). An upwards correction towards the level of 14.60 (ЕМА144, ЕМА200 on the 4-hour chart) is possible. However, a breakdown of the level of 14.00 would accelerate the fall.

On the 4-hour and daily charts, OsMA and Stochastic are turning to purchases.

Support levels: 14.00, 13.80, 13.50.

Resistance levels: 14.35, 14.60, 14.80, 15.30.

Trading tips

Short positions can be opened from current prices with targets at 14.00, 13.80, 13.50 and stop-loss at 14.35.

Long positions can be opened after the price consolidation above the level of 14.60 with targets at 15.30, 15.50.

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